Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-23 0.001047 0.001191 0.001335 0.001490 0.001652 0.001814 0.001990
2025-11-30 0.000874 0.001085 0.001303 0.001544 0.001800 0.002063 0.002351
2025-12-07 0.000693 0.000950 0.001225 0.001535 0.001872 0.002222 0.002612
2025-12-14 0.000527 0.000814 0.001132 0.001500 0.001907 0.002336 0.002819
2025-12-21 0.000429 0.000744 0.001104 0.001530 0.002006 0.002515 0.003091
2025-12-28 0.000314 0.000640 0.001029 0.001499 0.002034 0.002612 0.003272
2026-01-04 0.000237 0.000572 0.000989 0.001504 0.002097 0.002743 0.003486
2026-01-11 0.000164 0.000499 0.000936 0.001489 0.002135 0.002844 0.003664
2026-01-18 0.000107 0.000436 0.000890 0.001478 0.002174 0.002943 0.003838
2026-01-25 0.000047 0.000347 0.000804 0.001414 0.002147 0.002966 0.003924
2026-02-01 0.000015 0.000290 0.000753 0.001389 0.002163 0.003034 0.004059
2026-02-08 0.000001 0.000252 0.000726 0.001391 0.002209 0.003135 0.004228
2026-02-15 NaN 0.000201 0.000686 0.001390 0.002270 0.003274 0.004466
2026-02-22 NaN 0.000179 0.000688 0.001446 0.002401 0.003496 0.004799
2026-03-01 NaN 0.000133 0.000646 0.001440 0.002457 0.003631 0.005035
2026-03-08 NaN 0.000085 0.000586 0.001407 0.002478 0.003725 0.005224
2026-03-15 NaN 0.000064 0.000573 0.001437 0.002575 0.003907 0.005512
2026-03-22 NaN 0.000031 0.000520 0.001408 0.002596 0.003998 0.005696
2026-03-29 NaN 0.000014 0.000493 0.001413 0.002659 0.004137 0.005932
2026-04-05 NaN 0.000002 0.000456 0.001399 0.002696 0.004244 0.006131
2026-04-12 NaN NaN 0.000423 0.001388 0.002736 0.004353 0.006332
2026-04-19 NaN NaN 0.000359 0.001326 0.002705 0.004377 0.006431
2026-04-26 NaN NaN 0.000322 0.001301 0.002723 0.004456 0.006594